Intrade, the betting site, is by far the most accurate predictor of electoral votes. In 2008, it missed on only two states on the day of the election. It beat every other political poll.
Forget the polls. Forget the pols. Go with Intrade.
As you will see, Obama has the election sewn up. It will take some amazing event to unsew it.
To see where your state is heading, click the link.