When Lyndon Johnson signed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 he predicted that this would lose the South for the Democrats. Four months later, the Southern states voted for Barry Goldwater.
Exactly 50 years later, the Deep South is solid: not a single governor or Senator is a Democrat. Senator Landrieu of Louisiana was the last woman standing. She lost the runoff on Saturday, 56%-44%.
A solid Republican South did not seem possible in 1960, when Kennedy was elected. No one even discussed it. It was too far off the radar. But Johnson knew what would happen in 1964.
Today, the South is racially integrated, but it is Republican. Blacks vote, but they control only large cities. But cities are not enough. Mayors are not enough.
In 1870, Blacks were Republicans. The Republicans were the party of Lincoln. It still is, but they departed.
Politics is not fixed in concrete. Things can change.
Today, both parties are in the big spending camp. Both are content with massive federal deficits. Both are content with the Federal Reserve System. This, too, will change after the Great Default. When the U.S.S. Federal Government sinks in a sea of red ink, the swing voters will get into the lifeboats and row away.