The Iowa Electronic Markets lets people place small bets on certain events. Because the bets cannot go over $500, the government allows this. The site is run by the University of Iowa.
I trust the judgment of the law of large numbers. So, I think this site beats the public opinion polls.
The participants have predicted a clean sweep of the House and Senate by Republicans. The voting is simply overwhelming.
Senate: Over 80% say the Republicans will win control.
House: Over 90% say the Republicans will retain control.
It’s all over but the shouting.
Two more years of gridlock!
It will be like 1947-49. Better. Lame duck. No change to believe in. No hope to believe in. Blame-shifting. Posturing. Fund-raising. Bloviating. Deficits. ISIS. Ebola. Border.
Who’s in charge here? Boehner, McConnell, Obama. In short, no one.
And on the horizon: Hillary. On the day she declares her candidacy, she will be asked the same question, over and over: “What would you do differently?” She has only one specific answer: “My hair.”
There are Americans who believe that politics in Washington can make a difference. For them, the night cometh.